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Tensions in the Middle East and a stronger than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report put pressure on the markets this week.

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The second quarter started off with positive news on the jobs front as the March non-farm payroll report came in with a gain of 303,000 jobs which was well above expectations of 205,000.

Data in the last week of the quarter painted a bright picture of the U.S. economy. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index, came in as expected for February with an increase of 2.5% for the year.

The Federal Reserve’s “dot-plot” was back in the news this week following the March FOMC meeting. While no rate cuts were announced at this meeting, the new pattern of expected Fed moves implies three cuts at some point in 2024.

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